Intensifying War of Words Involving Ethiopian Government and Eritrean Government Raises Anxieties of Military Confrontation

Mounting apprehensions are present over the potential of warfare involving East African neighbors, Ethiopia and Eritrea, as aggressive rhetoric has escalated in recent weeks.

Red Sea coastline
Ethiopia and Eritrea worked together in the internal conflict in northern Ethiopia but they have subsequently disagreed.

What Did Ethiopia Declared?

Ethiopia's, being landlocked, demands for passage to the Red Sea through Eritrean territory has triggered a intense verbal exchange.

The Ethiopian leader previously announced in the previous year that his government's sea access was an existential matter, comments that Eritrea dismissed.

Diplomatic connections between the two countries have regularly been difficult. Following a decades-long struggle for freedom, the Eritrean state, which has a 1,350km (840-mile) maritime frontage, officially seceded from Ethiopia in 1993, leaving it landlocked.

Five years later, a border war erupted in which numerous people lost their lives.

Recent Comments from Ethiopia's Officials

Abiy and army chief the army commander have publicly asserted control of Eritrean southern port of the port of Assab – approximately 60 kilometers from the frontier - and hinted at the intention to take it by force.

In early September, Abiy said Ethiopia's "blunder" of losing entry to the Red Sea as a because of Eritrean independence would be "rectified tomorrow".

Ethiopia's ambassador to Kenya, retired Gen Bacha Debele, said that the port was "belonging to Ethiopia" and would be returned "by force".

Eritrea's Answer to the Claims

In the face of ongoing threats from Ethiopian officials, Eritrea's response has been restricted to short statements on online platforms from Information Minister Yemane G..

Officials have denied Ethiopia's push for maritime entry describing it as "risky" and a "toxic agenda" of "irredentism" – a strategy of reclaiming previous domains.

Government spokespeople warned on recently that efforts to validate "obvious provocation" would have significant repercussions for the Ethiopian government and its regional partners and is a "redline that should not be crossed|violated|breached".

Security Activities on the Border

There have been few indications of major military movements in the frontier regions between the both nations.

Nevertheless, in the country, national TV has displayed completion events of thousands of cadets at multiple army bases.

The director of human resources department of the military, Lt Gen Hachalu Sheleme, recently said in an discussion that the military was in a "reliable position" as "tens of thousands of youths" were entering service, which he said was "a message to our adversaries".

Historical Origins of the Conflict

For more than half a century from 1890, Eritrea was governed by Italian colonisers.

After World War II, it was then controlled by the British military before evolving into a federated part of Ethiopia.

But in 1962 the Ethiopian emperor terminated this system and Eritrea became totally absorbed into Ethiopia.

A three-decade long armed struggle occurred, ending with Ethiopia's defeat in the early 1990s. Autonomy was then endorsed by the population in a referendum in 1993.

For a few years in the 1990s, there were good relations between the authorities in Ethiopia's capital and Eritrea's capital, but they clashed over the specific demarcation of their common border, causing hostilities in 1998.

Although this concluded in a truce in 2000, it was never fully implemented, and the two nations stayed at in dispute.

This situation improved in 2018, when Abiy made overtures to Eritrean President the president. The two endorsed a declaration that the hostilities was concluded – a action that earned Abiy the prestigious award.

The both administrations were then allies in the country's previous internal conflict in Tigray.

Yet ties have later worsened anew.

Bridget Huffman
Bridget Huffman

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